I frequently call attention to the “inconvenient truth”
about transportation funding, which is that even the most ambitious funding
initiatives that get bandied about at the federal and state levels are pretty
much limited to patching up our inherited, legacy transportation system. They do little to plan, design, and
build a 21st Century system (see my posting here). That comment is sometimes followed up
by a question to me: so what does a 21st Century transportation
system look like?
That’s a good question, and one that some of us are working
away at.
One possible answer is put forward by Michael Hoexter and
his recent “Pedal-to-the-Metal Plan” (posted on the New Economic Perspectives
website here). Hoexter approaches
the question from the view that the climate change crisis will require an
urgent, radical response. He also deals with many
non-transportation issues (the Plan is aimed at “energy system transformation”). But I’ll limit my remarks to his agenda
for surface transportation. His
main goal is to “electrify land-based transportation and machines,” under which
he lists eights specific objectives:
1. Shift longdistance
freight transport to electrified rail or electrified gridcharged or powered trucks.
Build out rail infrastructure to
allow modal shift to rail versus road.
2. Shift freight
and passenger fleets to battery electric transportation with battery swap or inmotion
inductive charging capability.
3. Build high speed rail, electrified express rail or equivalently
rapid electrified public transit between major cities to replace much short and
middle distance air travel.
4. Shift high traffic
public transportation routes to electrified commuter rail, light rail, subway, elevated
rail, trolleybus, street car or electric bus.
5. Build electric
vehicle charging infrastructure in multifamily, single family residences, office
parking facilities and public streets.
6. Build rapid charge,
roadway charging, and/or battery swap infrastructure to facilitate electric vehicle
travel over middle and longer distances.
7. Increase electrical
energy storage performance by a factor of 2 per decade.
8. Facilitate transition
from selfdriven to programmable computer driven autonomous vehicles (increasing
capacity of existing road infrastructure and reducing emissions).
Interestingly, most of the technology to make these changes
is already available or reachable within the near future. And all of them make pretty good sense
to me. As always, the
institutional issues are the tough ones.
The toughest of these eight are probably number 1 and number 2, dealing
with freight. Building an
electrified Steel Interstate and shifting long-haul freight to it is not
something we can easily figure out.
And in case you were wondering, the author recognizes the
importance both of land use planning and of decarbonizing electricity supply.
Hoexter goes into a lot of other issues involving climate
change and related social and political concerns – all controversial – but on
the transportation side, at least, I’d give him high marks for a envisioning a
real 21st Century transportation system.