Bad. Just how
bad is unknown, since we don’t have the details. The budget summary document (available here) proposes a $2.4
Billion, or 13%, cut from baseline funding, but only 5 specific provisions are
identified:
1.
Privatize air traffic control,
2.
Eliminate funding for long-distance Amtrak
trains,
3.
Eliminate FTA’s New Starts program for transit
(for projects not yet at the stage of “full funding agreement”),
4.
Eliminate the Essential Air Service program, and
5.
Eliminate funding for the TIGER discretionary
funding program.
These changes certainly don’t add up to $2.4 Billion, and I
have no idea how OMB plans to get to that number. It won’t be pretty.
The 5 provisions themselves reflect the thinking of the 2016
Republican platform, although in less radical (or perhaps only introductory)
form (see my comments on the platform here).
Ironically, two of the targets for cuts – Essential Air
Service and Amtrak long-distance trains – are subsidies for transportation in mainly
Red State “flyover” territory.
The largest and most consequential hit is transit New
Starts. This program is already
starved for funds compared to demonstrated need – let alone what we should be doing to build an advanced,
greatly expanded public transportation component for a resilient, sustainable
21st century transportation system.
What about the anticipated infrastructure initiative that is
supposed to draw bipartisan support?
Certainly there is no money for anything like that here, adding to the
suspicion that that initiative will focus on a giveaway of highways and bridges
to concessionaires who will fund improvements through very high tolls.
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